EB-4 Visa Bulletin Brief

Calculus-based tracking and 6-month predictive forecasting for Special Immigrant Juvenile (SIJS) priority dates.

Current Cutoff calendar_month
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Avg velocity insights
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Volatility Index waves
- Instability score
6-Mo Projection trending_up
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show_chart Regression Forecasting Model

Statistical projection of priority dates and backlog waits 6 months out.

insights Cutoff Movement Dynamics (Derivatives)

First and second derivatives representing speed, acceleration, and rolling volatility.

report

USCIS Rescinds Automatic SIJS Deferred Action (May 10, 2026)

DHS has officially ended the policy of automatically considering approved I-360 SIJ status holders for deferred action and associated c(14) work permits. Deferred action is now discretionary and determined case-by-case, placing increased legal focus on monitoring priority cutoff dates.

warning

Adjustment of Status Requirement

Without automatic deferred action protection, SIJS youth must file Form I-485 to secure temporary protection and c(9) work authorization. I-485 filing is only permitted when the applicant's priority date is earlier than the EB-4 cutoff date listed in the Visa Bulletin.

database Chronological Analytical Log

Visa Bulletin Priority Cutoff Backlog Delay Velocity (v) Acceleration (a) Volatility (σ)

source Data Sources & Legal References

feed DOS Visa Bulletins

Historical priority dates and employment-based preferences are compiled directly from the monthly U.S. Department of State (DOS) Visa Bulletins (FY 2024 – FY 2026) for the EB-4 category (All Chargeability Areas).

gavel USCIS Policy Manual

Regulatory updates, Form I-360 petition timelines, and adjustment of status eligibility rules are based on USCIS Policy Manual Volume 6, Part J (Special Immigrant Juveniles) and official policy alert directives.

functions Methodology & Mechanics

Regression modeling, rolling volatility index, velocity ($\Delta P / \Delta t$), and acceleration ($\Delta v / \Delta t$) represent custom mathematical transformations applied to the discrete monthly bulletin dataset. All dates are parsed and computed using UTC timezone-neutral formats.